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Off-market SaaS acquisitions: due diligence when there is no listing

Approaching an owner directly usually means less competition and a better price, and it also means nothing has been prepared. There is no information package, no verified figures, no process and often no seller who has thought about selling. Every structure has to come from you, which is an advantage as well as a burden: you get to define what gets measured.

TL;DR: In a direct deal there is no listing, no prepared package and no process, which means better prices and no structure at all. Here is how to run churn diligence from a cold start.

What kind of channel this is

Direct approach, no intermediary, any size, most common at the smaller end. That shape determines what a buyer can expect to be given and what has to be requested, which is most of what changes between one acquisition channel and another.

What you typically get

Whatever the owner is willing to assemble, which early on is usually nothing formal. What you do get is direct access, time, and the ability to shape the process — including which analyses get run and how retention is defined, which in a brokered deal has already been decided for you.

What is typically not there

Everything documentary. There is no P&L presentation, no cohort table, no verified revenue figure and frequently no clear sense from the owner of what their own churn rate is. There is also no confidentiality framework and no agreed process, both of which need establishing before substantive information moves.

The churn traps specific to this channel

1. No confidentiality framework in place

In a direct approach nothing protects either side initially. Put a mutual confidentiality agreement in place before substantive data moves, both because it is the right thing to do and because an owner who has not sold before will be reasonably cautious about handing over customer data.

2. An owner who does not know their own numbers

This is common and it is not a bad sign. Many profitable small SaaS owners have never computed churn, and the figure they offer is a guess. Rather than testing their number, help them produce the export and compute it yourself — then share the result, since a seller who trusts your arithmetic is easier to transact with.

3. An unanchored price expectation

With no listing and no comparable process, price expectations can start anywhere. Ground the conversation in the analysis rather than in a multiple: an agreed view of retention, revenue quality and concentration gives both sides something to negotiate from.

4. Diligence drifting because nothing forces a stage

Without a broker's timeline, a direct process can run for months and never quite finish. Set your own stages and your own information requests explicitly, in writing, so that both sides know what completion looks like.

A first-pass sequence

In order, and stopping early if any step produces a blocker:

  1. Put a mutual confidentiality agreement in place before requesting any customer data.
  2. Set out your own process in writing: what you want to see, in what order, and what each stage leads to. Nobody else will.
  3. Expect to help the owner generate the export. Point them at the platform-specific request wording rather than asking for a churn figure.
  4. Recompute everything yourself from rows: churn in logo and revenue terms, the renewal calendar, parent-entity concentration, the recurring share of revenue.
  5. Share your analysis with the owner. In a direct deal this builds the trust the process is otherwise missing, and it usually surfaces context that changes your reading.
  6. Quantify owner dependency early, because in off-market deals the owner is often more involved than in a business that was prepared for sale.
  7. Agree the transition explicitly, since there is no standard process to fall back on.

What to request

Getting a usable export is its own problem, and the request wording that works differs by billing platform. The export guides cover eighteen platforms with the exact wording to send and the status values that mislead on each. Once you have the file, the seller-claims pages give the arithmetic for each specific claim, and the 23-point checklist is the short version of the whole process.

ChurnLens is not affiliated with, endorsed by or a partner of any marketplace or broker named on this page. Listing formats, disclosure practices and terms change; treat the descriptions here as a starting point and verify current specifics with the marketplace itself. Nothing here is investment, legal or tax advice.

Other acquisition channels

All acquisition channels →

Verify it against the raw rows

Every check on this page can be run by hand in a spreadsheet, and if you have the time you should. If you would rather not: send us the target's subscription export and we run the full human-reviewed analysis — logo churn, revenue churn, customer concentration, annual-plan decay, zombie MRR and an A–F revenue-quality grade. The free Starter tier covers one CSV per month, which is enough to check a single deal.

See a sample report →  ·  Get the free 23-point checklist →

Frequently asked questions

How do you do due diligence on an off-market SaaS deal?

You supply the structure that a listing and a broker would otherwise provide: a confidentiality agreement first, then a written process with stages and information requests, then recomputing everything yourself from the subscription rows. Expect to help the owner produce the export, since many have never generated one.

What if the seller does not know their own churn rate?

It is common among profitable small SaaS businesses and is not a warning sign. Help them generate the export rather than pressing for a number, compute the rate yourself, and share the result. In a direct deal that transparency does more for the transaction than a negotiating advantage would.

Is buying off-market cheaper than through a marketplace?

Often, because there is no competitive process and no intermediary fee, and the tradeoff is that you absorb the work a prepared process would have done. Whether that is worth it depends on how much diligence capacity you have and how well you can structure a process from scratch.

9%
Median B2B SaaS revenue churn
88%
Median gross revenue retention
23
Audit Checklist Points

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